Class 3A Quarterfinals Preview

 

Blanchard (11-0) AT Lincoln Christian (8-4)

 

 

This is the same Lincoln Christian team that gave up 80 points to Locust Grove in week 9. That might have been the turning point. The Bulldogs were able to upset Victory Christian 27-26 in overtime last week in the 2nd round after getting a surprising 20 point win over Stigler. I was waiting to see when Lincoln Christian would arrive in 3A football. What I mean by that is, when would they start competing the way they did in 2A. I think this could be the start of that. They have a tall task as they’ll play host to the defending state champion Blanchard Lions. The champs have beaten everybody they’ve played this season. Only a handful of their games have been close and they’ve blasted their first two playoff opponents by a combined score of 117-13. I like Lincoln Christian and I think they’ll start competing more in 3A. Over the next couple seasons I see them going deeper and deeper in the playoffs. I could be wrong on this because Lincoln Christian really surprised me with the way they beat Victory Christian. Not only did they get up on the Conquerors 20-7, they didn’t back down when Victory came back to send it to OT. Having said all that, the cinderella run ends here when the champs come to town.

 

 

Locust Grove (12-0) AT Plainview (12-0)

 

 

 

Only battle in 3A this week that puts two undefeated teams against eachother. Let’s start with Plainview. The Indians have only played 2 close games all season and both came against the same team. They have blown out everybody except for Tuttle. In week 1 those two teams played with Plainview winning by 5. In last week’s 2nd round matchup, Plainview got the best of the Tigers again winning by 8. Locust Grove really impressed me with the way they dispatched a very good Berryhill team last week at home. In fact, the Pirates have been impressive all year long and finally sold me last week with their dominant performance. Locust Grove finished the season undefeated and that included wins over quarterfinalist teams like Hilldale and Lincoln Christian in district play. I’m sold on the Pirates, I don’t know how far they can go but I’m buying into Matt Hennesey and this Locust Grove team. I think Locust Grove can continue this surprising run into the semifinals and honestly I think they can get to the title game. In my opinion, I think they’ll see a Seminole or Kingfisher in the title game and I don’t know how all this youth will respond to playing an experienced team like that. They’ll have to drive basically to another state to play this game but I think they get the win close.

 

 

 

Seminole (12-0) AT Hilldale (10-2)

 

 

 

Hilldale shocked the state when they upset Metro Christian. Hilldale couldn’t manage too many points but they shut down Metro Christian’s offense. The Hornets were able to pull off a huge 14-12 upset of the unbeaten Patriots. Now, having said that, the road ends here. Enter Papi White. Not familiar with Mr. White? All he’s done so far in the first two rounds of the playoffs is run for over 800 yards. White set an Oklahoma record for most rushing yards in a playoff game with over 460 in the 1st round. He added over 350 last week. Hilldale did a phenominal job stopping Metro Christian’s offense and they get Seminole at home. The Chieftains contiune to roll in my opinion. Hilldale played Locust Grove close and has a very impressive win over Metro but Seminole and Papi White has me sold. I honestly think that this will be a close game. As much as I’m talking up Seminole, I think Hilldale can slow White down. I don’t think that they’ll be able to slow him down enough. Hilldale could pull another upset and get a win over a very strong Seminole team but I don’t see it happening tonight. White is playing at another level and has this Seminole team on his back. The Chieftains advance to the semifinals led by another good performance by Papi White.

 

 

 

 

 

Kingfisher (12-0) AT Beggs (10-2)

 

 

 

Beggs just keep winning games when not a lot of people expect it. The Demons beat Claremore Sequoyah and then beat a good Checotah team last week. End of the road Beggs! All due respect, and Beggs has earned our respect after the last two weeks, Beggs has no chance to advance to the semifinals in my opinion. Kingfisher looks like they’re on a mission to make it to the title game. The Yellowjackets are beating opponents by an average score of 49-6. The closest game they’ve played all year was 34-7 win over Marlow. A 27 point win is your closest win? You’re dominant. If Beggs wins, it’ll be the upset of the year. I love what Lee Blankenship is doing with this Beggs program and they’re going to have some nice battles with Victory Christian and Hilldale over the next two seasons. Kingfisher wants the gold ball and I don’t think Beggs stands a chance in this quarterfinal match-up. Yellowjackets win big.

 

Class 5A Semifinals Preview

McAlester (11-1) VS Lawton MacArthur (10-2) AT Choctaw

The Buffaloes have been dismantling teams.  No other way can properly describe what McAlester has been doing to opponents.  In the last 3 weeks the Buffalo offense has scored 70, 76 and 52 points.  Last week McAlester put up 52 against the defending champion Carl Albert Titans.  They beat down the champs 52-13 and the last Carl Albert TD was scored on McAlester’s back up’s.  We knew the offense would score points, in fact, the Buffaloes made scoring 52 points look incredibly easy.  The defense showed up and impressed.  In fact, the whole state of Oklahoma opened their eyes when they saw what the Buffaloes were able to do.  Carl Albert’s offense could only manage 6 points going against the McAlester’s starters.  Brian Pratt’s Buffaloes now make their 3rd straight appearance in the 5A semifinals.  They went 0-2 in the last 2 appearances and haven’t reached the championship game since 1996.  While McAlester has steamrolled their playoff opponents Lawton Mac has beaten their first two opponents by a combined 10 points.  For those keeping track at home, the Buffs have beaten their first two opponents by a combined 87 points.  The Highlanders have struggled while the Buffaloes have exceeded expectations.  MacArthur was trailing Pryor 7-0 at halftime and had limited success offensively.  The Highlanders won 19-15 and finished 19 points under their season average for points per game.  Lawton Mac cannot afford to struggle offensively.  Lawton Mac beat Duncan 71-56 in district play and they’ll need to win a game like that to get the best of McAlester.  The Highlanders will need to put up points.  A lot of points.  I don’t think they can score enough points to keep up with this Buffalo offense that is scoring with ease.  McAlester’s defense showed that they are no longer the weak link of this team when they controlled Carl Albert’s offense and kept them out of the endzone.  What is their weak link now?  They might not have one.  McAlester wins and this might be another game that’s over by halftime.

Guthrie (12-0) VS Collinsville (10-2) AT Sapulpa

Guthrie is the only unbeaten team left in 5A but they struggled last week for only the second time this season.  Guthrie has been dominant all season and they’ve only had two games all year that were decided by less than 10 points.  Bring in Collinsville, 9 of their 12 games have been decided by less than 10 points including the last two playoff games.  Guthrie struggled last week with containing Shawnee dual threat QB John Jacobs.  Collinsville has a fantastic dual threat QB in Zane McElroy and he might be coming off his best game in the quarterfinal win over Bishop McGuinness.  Guthrie is undefeated for a reason.  A lot of teams have tried to slow them down and have failed.  I’ve already gone on record that I think Collinsville will pull the upset and I know that I’m in the minority.  Last week’s quarterfinal games convinced me that Collinsville has a legitimate shot and that I should pull the trigger on the upset call.  Guthrie struggled to get past Shawnee.  A win’s a win in the playoffs but it left me with question marks about this Blue Jay team.  I thought given what they’ve done this year, they’d handle Shawnee by 2-3 touchdowns.  I could be wrong here, I know I have been many times this year, but I think Guthrie is vulnerable.  You have to tip your cap to Collinsville, they’re riding an 8 game win streak and have plenty of experience when the game goes down to the wire.  They’re coming off a very impressive victory over Bishop McGuinness.  The Irish were playing their best football this season and Collinsville got by in another close one.  They got a 75 yard TD pass with just under 1:30 left in the game to make it 35-34 in favor of the Irish.  Instead of kicking the extra point and going to OT, the Cardinals went for the lead and got the 2 point conversion.  Collinsville is used to being in situations like that, Guthrie is not, at least not this year.  I might just be trying to convince myself that Collinsville has a shot.  No doubt in my mind that Guthrie is a fantastic football team but I’m calling for the upset and for the Cardinals to make their first state title game ever.

Class 6A Semifinals Preview

Union (10-2) VS Broken Arrow (10-2) AT Owasso

It’s mini bedlam on Friday night at Owasso as the Union Redskins take on the Broken Arrow Tigers with a spot in the state championship game on the line.  Union’s Jeffery Mead and Carson Meier are both OU commits.  Broken Arrow’s Devon Thomas and Gyasi Akem are both OSU commits.  We get to take a look at the bedlam future when these two teams square off.  It’s also ironic because Bedlam is a great comparison for this rivalry between Union and Broken Arrow.  OU has dominated the overall series between the two state schools.  OSU is starting to build some momentum and keep getting closer and closer to leveling the playing field of the Sooner State.  I feel the exact same about the rivalry between Union and Broken Arrow.  You can’t help but make that comparison and think “big brother-little brother” when thinking about Union-BA.  In the last 30 meetings, BA has only won 1 time but you can see their on the verge of breaking thru.  Union won the regular season meeting 38-21 on the road in Broken Arrow as their back up running back Tyler Adkins went off for 234 yards on 34 carries.  The Redskins outscored the Tigers 31-7 in the 2nd half after trailing at halftime.  This is not meant to be controversial.  My intent on writing this is not to give BA “bulletin board material”.  It’s just my observation and opinion on the rivalry.  Broken Arrow is closing the gap when it comes to beating Union but only 1 win in 30 attempts is eye opening.  So the question remains, when will BA break thru and beat Union?  I don’t think it’ll be this year.  Despite having one of their most talented teams, I think Union is playing at another level on offense.  The Redskins are so balanced offensively but they’ll have a tough test against the speed and the athleticism that BA’s defense will bring.  This could be a very close game that isn’t decided until the last several minutes in the 4th quarter.  If that’s the case, I give a huge edge to Union.  They’ve been there before, they know what it takes to win those kinds of games.  Broken Arrow will eventually break thru and it might even happen in the semifinals, but until it does, you have to give the nod to the Redskins by a slim margin.

Jenks (12-0) VS Westmoore (10-2) AT Yukon

Westmoore is playing with a lot of confidence after handling unbeaten Lawton last week in the quarterfinals.  The Jaguars jumped out to a 28-0 lead and shut Lawton out until late in the 3rd quarter.  Westmoore is battle tested after competing in 6A-2 with semifinalists Jenks and Broken Arrow being the top dogs.  This semifinal with Jenks will be a rematch of week 7 when the Trojans went on the road and got a 24-0 win over Westmoore.  The Jenks defense was dominant on the road in conditions that weren’t ideal for football.  The defense held Westmoore to under 100 yards of total offense in addition to pitching the shutout.  Jenks also got a strong performance from their running game.  It was rainy and windy and in weather conditions like that you lean to your run game and defense.  The defending champs got spectacular performances from both.  You also take history into account when looking at this game.  It heavily favors the Trojans.  With a win, Jenks will advance to their 22nd state title game in school history.  A Westmoore win would send the Jags to just their 2nd title game in school history, the only other appearance coming all the way back in 1991.  Jenks raised eyebrows when they struggled to beat Owasso in the 1st round 14-10.  The Trojans answered any questions skeptics had last week in the quarterfinals when they beat down Midwest City.  The Bombers defense had been giving up only an average of 13 points in the 11 games coming into last week.  The Trojans were able to put up 33 on the scoreboard.  I don’t think Jenks will pitch another shutout and I think Westmoore will get over the century mark in total offense.  However I think the result will be the same.  Westmoore impressed me last week and it could be possible that they could upset Jenks but I don’t like their chances.  Jenks advances to their staggering 22nd state championship game in school history with their 2nd win over Westmoore in 2013.

Playoffs Round 3 Picks

2nd Round Results
Michael: 20-8
Matt: 19-9
For The Playoffs:
Michael: 69-15
Matt: 64-20

Class 6A

Union-Broken Arrow
Michael: Union
Matt: Union
Jenks-Westmoore
Michael: Jenks
Matt: Jenks

Class 5A

McAlester-Lawton MacArthur
Michael: McAlester
Matt: McAlester
Guthrie-Collinsville
Michael: Collinsville
Matt: Guthrie

Class 4A

Anadarko-Wagoner
Michael: Anadarko
Matt: Anadarko
Douglass-Poteau
Michael: Poteau
Matt: Poteau

Class 3A

Blanchard AT Lincoln Christian
Michael: Blanchard
Matt: Blanchard
Locust Grove AT Plainview
Michael: Locust Grove
Matt: Plainview
Seminole AT Hilldale
Michael: Seminole
Matt: Seminole
Kingfisher AT Beggs
Michael: Kingfisher
Matt: Kingfisher

Class 2A

Vian AT Hennessey
Michael: Vian
Matt: Hennessey
Adair AT Davis
Michael: Davis
Matt: Davis
Millwood AT Meeker
Michael: Millwood
Matt: Millwood
Hartshorne AT OCS
Michael: Hartshorne
Matt: OCS

Playoffs Week 2 Recap

Weather affected the 2nd round of the playoffs as half the games were postponed to Saturday afternoon or evening.  For the teams in class 4A-6A, as well as class C&B, we’re halfway there on the road to Boone Pickens Stadium.  For teams in class A-3A, they go into the quarterfinals this week.  The biggest surprises this week came in class 3A with unbeaten Metro Christian and Victory Christian each going down. 

Class 6A

Union Beats Edmond North 49-7

The Redskins left no doubt in their 3rd quarterfinal match-up with Edmond North in 4 seasons.  The Redskins led 49-0 at the end of the 3rd quarter and coasted to the easy win.  The Redskins now move on to face Broken Arrow in the semifinals, a team that quite frankly they’ve owned. 

Broken Arrow Beats Mustang 43-20

The Tigers traveled to the west to take on Mustang.  The only 6A quarterfinal that was played on Friday night took place on a sleet covered field in Mustang.  The Tigers heated things up quickly with Devon Thomas taking the opening kick back for a TD.  Face rival Union for a spot in the title game.

Jenks Beats Midwest City 33-14

The Trojans used a pick 6 from Dylan Harding to spark a 19 point win over the Bombers to advance to their 8th straight semifinal appearance.  The Trojans will see a Westmoore team that they shutout in week 7 24-0.  The defending champs held the Jags to under 100 yards of total offense.

Westmoore Beats Lawton 28-15

The Jags beat Lawton in dominating fashion on Saturday afternoon.  Westmoore jumped out to a 28-0 lead and Lawton didn’t score until late in the 3rd quarter.  Westmoore becomes the only hope that the West has at winning a 6A title.  They get the defending champion Jenks Trojans in the semifinals.

Class 5A

Lawton MacArthur Beats Pryor 19-15

The Highlanders got all 19 points in the 2nd half to come back from a 7-0 halftime deficit to advance to the semifinals.  The Tigers struggled offensively getting anything going.  Lawton Mac was held 20 points under their season average but got enough points to come back and end Pryor’s cinderella run.

McAlester Beat Carl Albert 52-13

Nobody in Oklahoma saw this coming.  Nobody.  I think most people knew that McAlester would score points but to drop 52 as easily as they made it look surprised a lot of people.  A dominant performance by McAlester’s defense makes the Buffs the heavy favorite in 5A in my eyes.

Guthrie Beat Shawnee 23-21

The Blue Jays got a scare from upset minded Shawnee but they were able to remain the only unbeaten in class 5A.  Guthrie played a close game with Shawnee all afternoon but were able to get a stop to advance to face a Collinsville team that is very comfortable playing close games.

Collinsville Beat Bishop McGuinness 36-35

Bishop McGuinness had been red hot with back to back impressive wins over Deer Creek and Ardmore.  Collinsville trailed 35-28 with under 1:30 to play.  The Cardinals score on a 75 yard TD and decide to go for 2 and the win and got it.  Now the Cards get the undefeated Guthrie Blue Jays.

Class 4A

Anadarko Beat Catoosa 40-14

The Warriors were just too much for Catoosa on Friday night.  The Warriors remained undefeated and improved to 52-2 since the start of the 2010 season.  Can anybody stop this team?  Only 2 teams have, Clinton last year in the title game and Metro Christian in 2010’s 3A quarterfinals.

Wagoner Beat Woodward 28-21

What else can we say about Wagoner RB Lawrence Evitt?  In each of Wagoner’s 2 playoff games this year, Evitt has gone for over 300 yards.  They’ll need that a 3rd straight week when they face Anadarko in the semi’s for a 2nd consecutive year.  Anadarko beat Wagoner by 10 last season.

Douglass Beat Oologah 29-25

Oologah had been playing their best football, Douglass trailed in their 1st round game as late as the 3rd quarter.  It looked like Oologah had a legitimate shot to get to the semi’s.  Douglass stopped all that when they ran in the game winning touchdown with 33 seconds left to get the close win.

Poteau Beat Clinton 10-7

Poteau continued their unprecedented season by beating the defending champs 10-7 with a game winning field goal with 6 seconds left in the game.  The Pirates now advance to face Deondre Clark and the Douglass Trojans with a spot in the state championship game on the line. 

Class 3A

Blanchard Beat Newcastle 41-0

The defending champs rolled again to another playoff win.  Blanchard’s 41-0 win wasn’t near as close as their 28-7 win over Newcastle back on September 20th.  The Lions move on to the quarterfinals to face upset minded Lincoln Christian.

Lincoln Christian Beat Victory Christian in OT 27-26

The previously undefeated Conquerors fell behind Lincoln Christian 20-7 at halftime.  Victory Christian climbed back in the game and tied it at 20 to send it to overtime.  Victory went for 2 and the win and came up short giving Lincoln a huge program win in 3A.  Defending champs up next.

Plainview Beats Tuttle 14-6

What’s up with Plainview when they play Tuttle?  Plainview’s average margin of victory when they don’t play Tuttle this season is 43 points per game.  In the two games this season these two teams met, Plainview won both by a COMBINED 13 points.  Doesn’t get easier, undefeated Locust Grove next.

Locust Grove Beats Berryhill 30-8

Last week I said if Locust Grove comes out and dominates like they have all season they’d make a believer out of me.  Mission accomplished.  The Pirates won by 22 and Berryhill didn’t score until Locust Grove was up 30-0.  The Pirates travel to unbeaten Plainview in a huge quarterfinal game.

Hilldale Beats Metro Christian 14-12

Wow.  Maybe the upset of the playoffs so far.  Metro Christian had dominated all season long and had a let down to end their season.  The Patriots defense kept them in the game but Metro’s offense never got going and Hilldale stopped a 2 point conversion with under 2 minutes to go to seal the win. 

Seminole Beats Heritage Hall 52-27

PAPI WHITE.  Any questions?  Last week the Chieftain broke the Oklahoma playoff record for most rushing yards in a game with over 460.  What does he do for an encore?  Goes for over 350 against Heritage Hall.  For those who didn’t major in math, that’s over 800 yards in 2 games.  Beast.

Beggs Beats Checotah 34-28

The Beggs Demons continue their unlikely run in the 3A playoffs by knocking off Checotah on Saturday night.  I’m one of the skeptics that didn’t think Beggs could make it this far.  In fact, I had them losing in the 1st round.  Winning in the quarterfinals will be very tough as they face Kingfisher.

Kingfisher Beats Jones 48-0

How dominant has Kingfisher been?  The closest game they played this year was a 34-7 win over Marlow.  A 27 point win for the hungry Yellowjackets.  So far Kingfisher has beaten their first two playoff opponents by a score of 100-9.  Good luck Beggs.  Kingfisher looks poised for a title run.

Class 2A

Hennessey Beat Washington 41-7

Vian Beat Salina 41-20

Davis Beat Christian Heritage 34-29

Adair Beat Okemah 21-12

Meeker Beat Nowata 20-14

Millwood Beat Hobart 60-6

Hartshorne Beat Commerce 17-7

OCS Beat Lindsay 38-16

Round 2 Playoff Preview

1)  Carl Albert (9-2) AT McAlester (10-1)

Carl Albert cannot afford to go 3 and out too many times.  The Titans have a good defense but they haven’t seen an offense even remotely as good as McAlester’s.  The Buffaloes have the best offense in the state and might be playing their best football as a unit right now.  In the last two weeks, McAlester has put up 70 and 76 points respectively.  Now the competition hasn’t been what it will be against Carl Albert, but there’s no question that they’ll score some points against the Titans.  In fact, the Buffaloes had 76 points with a little over 10 minutes left in the game!  This is a dangerous offense and Carl Albert will need to put some drives together.  If the defending champs can’t control the ball then they’ll be in for a long night.  I think the magic number is 45.  McAlester is going to put up points, they’ve only been held under 40 twice and one of those times they scored 38.  I think Carl Albert needs to keep McAlester under 45 points to have a chance, I don’t think they can.

2)  Woodward (8-3) AT Wagoner (11-0)

The Boomers will travel across the state for a second consecutive week.  Last week they traveled 221 miles to beat down Ada by the tune of 49-7.  Now they’ll make the 243 mile drive to Wagoner to take on the undefeated Bulldogs.  Like Scott Wright of The Oklahoman said on my show Saturday, “people in Woodward have to drive a while to go to dinner.”  The Boomers are no strangers to extreme travel but it is something to think about.  Also, when they get off the bus and hit the field they’ll see the fastest running back in the state.  Woodward has seen Anadarko’s RJ Sink and Clinton’s Marquiz Simpkins but neither of those guys have the quickness and speed that Lawrence Evitt has.  Now Wagoner is almost as one dimensional as it gets, they beat a good Catoosa team earlier this year without completing a single pass.  I like Woodward but Wagoner has an advantage playing at home.  We’ll see if Woodward can contain Evitt.  A lot of teams have tried and failed.  I think Woodward will be the next team, they have a good defense but not enough speed to stop Evitt from breaking off a couple big runs.

3)  Berryhill (9-2) AT Locust Grove (11-0)

How good is Locust Grove?!?  I’m really tired of asking this question, luckily we’ll have that answer after Friday night.  Locust Grove’s toughest opponent to this point has been Hilldale and they won a close game.  Berryhill is a tougher opponent and will push Locust Grove further then Hilldale pushed them.  One thing is for sure, expect some weird things to happen.  With Locust Grove head coach Matt Hennessey on the sidelines, expect fake field goals and punts, onside kicks, going for it on 4th down.  You also have to think about this, Berryhill has playoff success in their past, Locust Grove does not.  That might mean nothing, it might mean everything, we’ll see.  Berryhill has the best player on the field in Tulsa commit Jeremy Smith.  Smith makes an impact on offense running and catching the ball.  Smith will be needed on defense to pressure Locust Grove QB Mason Fine.  This is the same Locust Grove offense that put up 80 points.  I don’t see that happening in this game.  I’m taking Locust Grove in this game but I’m very hesitant about that pick.  Take a coin and flip it to find a winner in this one.

4)  Westmoore (9-2) AT Lawton (11-0)

Lawton jumped out to a 35-7 lead on Yukon in the 3rd quarter and let off the gas.  Yukon was able to climb all the way back in the game and put a scare in #3 Lawton.  The Wolverines held on to win while Westmoore came to the 918 and beat down a good Sand Springs team.  Cause for concern?  Not from me.  Lawton is the best team from the west in my opinion.  They have D1 talent that can compare to Jenks.  The Wolverines have thrown in some games that make you scratch your head.  However in the big games where they’re playing a top level opponent, Lawton has beaten down teams.  This is coming from a guy based out of Tulsa.  So I see these east side teams a lot more then I do the teams from the west.  I’ve seen both teams on film and I’ve talked to some people that I trust over there to get an opinion.  I think Lawton wins and runs away with it in the 2nd half.  I’ve gone on record saying that I like Lawton by 2-3 touchdowns.  Westmoore has a good team but they had no success against talented teams like Jenks or Broken Arrow.  I think they’ll fall short again in Lawton.

5)  Clinton (8-3) AT Poteau (10-1)

Poteau is just like Locust Grove, all they do is win and I keep doubting them.  Maybe it’s time to buy in to how good this Poteau team is.  They have the defending champs coming into their town.  Clinton could be the most up and down team this season in Oklahoma.  The Red Tornadoes have been hit and hit hard by injuries which has prevented them from being competitive in a couple games this season.  I was surprised by the outcome in the 1st round where it took overtime for Clinton to move past Harrah 28-21.  At full strength, Clinton is an elite team and one of the favorites to take state.  Dealing with injuries, Clinton is just a team that narrowly beats Harrah and gets blown out by Anadarko and Piedmont.  Which Clinton team will make the trip to Poteau?  That will decide who wins this game.

6)  Catoosa (8-3) AT Anadarko (11-0)

Anadarko has been a monster for years now.  They have a run of 4 straight undefeated regular seasons and have only been tested once.  They got by Woodward by 3 points in week 7.  Woodward is a team that likes to come up and be physical both offensively and defensively.  Introducing now, the Catoosa Indians.  This is a ball club that likes to do the exact same thing.  The Indians surprised a lot of people when they went to Cascia Hall and blasted the Commandoes by 29 points.  There’s a reason Anadarko is undefeated and they should be the favorite.  I’m just warning you, if you overlook Catoosa, you’ll lose.  This is a physical team and if they push Anadarko down several times, I wonder how many times the Warriors will get up.  I like Anadarko in this game, but similar to last week, I won’t be surprised if the Indians come out on top.  Now if Catoosa blows out Anadarko it’ll be one of the biggest surprises of the year.  Anadarko will need to get out to a fast start and keep Catoosa down in order to get the win.  The Warriors should advance but they’ll get a dog fight from this Catoosa squad.

7)  Nowata (10-1) AT Meeker (11-0)

Big time game down in Class 2A.  The only loss between the two teams was Nowata’s loss to Adair back in early October.  Meeker has run thru the regular season unbeaten and will give Nowata their toughest challenge since the Adair game.  I don’t think Meeker has seen a team like Nowata all year long.  The Ironmen are going to run, run and run the ball and with the weather looking bad for games on Friday and Saturday, that favors Nowata.  How will Meeker respond?  Meeker has one of the better defenses in 2A but I think Nowata can score on them.  This is another one of those coin flip games and I’m picking Nowata.  Not really based on anything.  I’ve liked Nowata all year and I’m going to stick with them as they try to give the Bulldogs their first loss.  It would not surprise me at all if Meeker got the job done and moved into the quarterfinals.  This is a very evenly matched game and should make for another one of those instant classics.

8)  Beggs (9-2) AT Checotah (10-1)

Full disclosure, I didn’t think Beggs would get here.  In fact, the team they eliminated, Claremore Sequoyah, I had the Eagles going to the quarterfinals.  So if I had Claremore Sequoyah beating Checotah and Beggs beat Claremore Sequoyah, does that mean I like Beggs over Checotah?  Maybe.  Checotah’s only loss was a 7 point decision to Stigler.  The Demons have lost twice with the last loss coming to Victory Christian but it was much closer then the 20 point difference indicates.  I could be wrong on this game but I favor the Demons.  They were very impressive last week in their win over a Claremore Sequoyah team that I’ve liked all season long.  Like almost all of these games in the top 15, it’s too close to feel real good about one team over another.  Either outcome would not surprise me but I like Beggs to get the job done.  If they beat Checotah by 14 like they did last week, watch out for the Demons.

9)  Midwest City (9-2) AT Jenks (11-0)

The worst thing that could have happened to Midwest City’s chances of upsetting Jenks happened last week.  The #1 Trojans were pushed in the 1st round by Owasso and now people are thinking they’re not as strong as originally thought.  Wrong.  This team is without a doubt the favorite in 6A and I’m afraid they might take out a little frustration on Midwest City tonight.  The Bombers finally got it rolling on offense after an up and down season.  However the Edmond Santa Fe defense is not the Jenks defense by any stretch of the imagination.  I think Jenks will struggle offensively against the second best defense in the state in Midwest City.  The first best defense?  That belongs to the Trojans.  Any momentum theis Bomber offense has from last week’s 49 point performance will be halted once they step on the field at Jenks.  I think the Trojans remind the state why they’re the favorites to repeat in 6A and make an example out of Midwest City doing it.  The Bombers are good and they’ll contend for a title next year in 6A division 2.  They won’t push the defending champs tonight though.  Jenks advances and looks good doing it.

10)  Shawnee (9-2) AT Guthrie (11-0)

I like Shawnee.  In fact, if they were playing in any of the other quarterfinal match-up’s with the exception of Carl Albert-McAlester, I’d pick them to win.  Not this match-up though.  There’s a reason why Guthrie is the only undefeated team left in 5A.  They ran thru Carl Albert, Edmond Deer Creek, Bishop McGuinness and beat those 3 by a combined score of 89-31.  Two of those teams made it to the quarterfinals.  The Blue Jays are strong and should roll on into the semifinals and into the title game after that.  Shawnee has had a great year led by dual threat QB John Jacobs.  Jacobs might have some success tonight but it’ll be limited.  I think the Blue Jays roll in this one.  Shawnee keeps it close in the first half but the battle tested Guthrie squad pulls away after halftime.

11)  Tuttle (8-3) AT Plainview (11-0)

These two teams have already met in 2013.  All the way back on week 1 in the season opener.  Seems like an entire season ago by now.  Plainview got the best of Tuttle, but it was close, it was a 19-14 victory for the Indians.  Ever since then Plainview has been blasting teams while Tuttle has dropped two other games.  In fact, since the 19-14 game in week 1, Plainview has beaten opponents by an average score of 53.8-6.3.  Now the competition hasn’t been equivalent to what they saw in week 1 but there’s no arguing that Plainview has been one of the most dominant teams in Oklahoma for 10 straight weeks now.  I think Tuttle won’t get blown out by almost 50 like Plainview is averaging.  I also don’t think it’ll be as close as 19-14 back in week 1.  I like Plainview this season, I have them going all the way to the title game.  I think the Indians win by 3-4 touchdowns pulling away in the second half.  This is a strong Plainview team that’s only getting stronger and Tuttle will have to play their best football if they have a shot at pulling the upset.

12)  Pryor (8-3) AT Lawton MacArthur (9-2) (Saturday Afternoon)

The Brennon Barth show hits the road for a Saturday afternoon visit in Lawton.  What Brennon Barth is doing this year is very comparable to what Stevie Thompson of Carl Albert did a year ago.  We all remember the story, Carl Albert gets off to a slow start, led by Thompson running the ball at QB go on to win the state title.  I’m not saying Pryor will win the state title, but they can beat Lawton MacArthur.  Barth has been unstoppable in his last 2 games running this triple option offense.  In his last two games he has over 500 yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground.  It’s gonna be cold, both teams are going to want to run the ball.  Advantage Pryor.  Lawton Mac’s biggest playmaker is a receiver and with the wind howling and the temperatures dropping, I’m not sure how effective the Highlanders can be passing the ball.  Mac has also given up a lot of points this season.  In the game where they dropped 71 on Duncan, they also gave up 56.  Pryor is undefeated when they score 21 points or more.  Lawton Mac has given up 21 points or more 6 times this season.  Pryor keeps having success running the ball and finds holes in this Highlander defense.  The Tigers shock 5A when they advance to the semifinals for the first time ever in school history.

13)  Oologah (8-3) AT Douglass (10-1)

Douglass almost messed around and lost again in the 1st round.  The Trojans won the state title back in 2010 and ever since then have struggled in the postseason.  In 2011 and 2012 Douglass was upset in the 1st round and they were in danger of making it 3 times in a row last week.  Douglass trailed Elgin in the 3rd quarter before eventually running away and winning the game.  If you judge only the final score, you’ll think they’ll have no problem with Oologah.  The final was 63-28 but do not forget they trailed in the 2nd half.  Oologah is playing their best football right now when it matters most while Douglass has been up and down for a month now.  Oologah got a big week 10 win over Catoosa, giving them home field advantage for their 1st round game with Sallisaw.  The Mustangs continued to shine when they beat Sallisaw by 11 points to advance to the quarterfinals.  Oologah has been one of those teams who put good regular season records together and push team in the playoffs but haven’t been able to break thru.  They’ll travel to Oklahoma City to take on a Douglass team that finds ways to lose games.  I think Oologah finally breaks thru and gets to the semifinals by beating Douglass in a hard fought game.

14)  Bishop McGuinness (7-5) AT Collinsville (9-2)

Bishop McGuinness might be peaking right now.  I have a feeling that Collinsville is struggling to find their identity.  Over the last 3 weeks Collinsville has played teams close.  The Irish beat down top 10 teams Deer Creek and Ardmore in the last two weeks.  I wasn’t sure how this Irish team would fare in the playoffs after a season full of turnovers and disappointment.  They’ve shown me exactly how they’re gonna do in the last two weeks.  I’m afraid Collinsville is running into this Irish team at the worst possible time.  Two weeks ago I would have taken Collinsville in this game.  Now, I’m afraid it might be another Bishop McGuinness run away.

15)  Lincoln Christian (7-4) AT Victory Christian (11-0)

Lincoln Christian took their first step to success in 3A when they won their 1st round game by 20 points.  The Bulldogs dominated in 2A but after being moved up to 3A, they’ve struggled at times.  This is their 2nd year competing in 3A and last week was their 1st playoff win in 3A.  Now they go on the road and face a huge challenge in undefeated Victory Christian.  Over the last two years, the Conquerors are 21-1.  Victory made up for last year’s 1st round upset by leaving no doubt last week.  Victory is led by an explosive high scoring offense.  Sophomore quarterback Keats Calhoon has the potential to be one of the best QB’s statistically and realistically this state has ever seen.  Lincoln Christian took their first step competing in 3A last week but I think the road ends here against Victory.  The Conquerors are strong and will put up too many points.  Lincoln Christian will have some success offensively and might score some points but they won’t be able to keep up with Calhoon and the high potent Victory offense.

Playoffs Round 2 Picks

1st Round Results
Michael: 49-7
Matt: 45-11

Class 6A

Edmond North AT Union
Michael: Union
Matt: Union
Broken Arrow AT Mustang
Michael: Broken Arrow
Matt: Broken Arrow
Midwest City AT Jenks
Michael: Jenks
Matt: Jenks
Westmoore AT Lawton
Michael: Lawton
Matt: Lawton

Class 5A

Pryor AT Lawton MacArthur (Saturday)
Michael: Pryor
Matt: Pryor
Carl Albert AT McAlester
Michael: McAlester
Matt: Carl Albert
Shawnee AT Guthrie
Michael: Guthrie
Matt: Guthrie
Bishop McGuinness AT Collinsville
Michael: Bishop McGuinness
Matt: Bishop McGuinness

Class 4A

Catoosa AT Anadarko
Michael: Anadarko
Matt: Anadarko
Woodward AT Wagoner
Michael: Wagoner
Matt: Woodward
Oologah AT Douglass
Michael: Oologah
Matt: Oologah
Clinton AT Poteau
Michael: Clinton
Matt: Poteau

Class 3A

Newcastle AT Blanchard
Michael: Blanchard
Matt: Blanchard
Lincoln Christian AT Victory Christian
Michael: Victory Christian
Matt: Victory Christian
Tuttle AT Plainview
Michael: Plainview
Matt: Plainview
Berryhill AT Locust Grove
Michael: Locust Grove
Matt: Locust Grove
Hilldale AT Metro Christian
Michael: Metro Christian
Matt: Metro Christian
Heritage Hall AT Seminole
Michael: Seminole
Matt: Seminole
Beggs AT Checotah
Michael: Beggs
Matt: Beggs
Jones AT Kingfisher
Michael: Kingfisher
Matt: Kingfisher

Class 2A

Washington AT Hennessey
Michael: Hennessey
Matt: Hennessey
Salina AT Vian
Michael: Vian
Matt: Vian
Christian Heritage AT Davis
Michael: Davis
Matt: Davis
Okemah AT Adair
Michael: Adair
Matt: Adair
Nowata AT Meeker
Michael: Nowata
Matt: Meeker
Hobart AT Millwood
Michael: Millwood
Matt: Millwood
Hartshorne AT Commerce
Michael: Hartshorne
Matt: Commerce
OCS AT Lindsay
Michael: OCS
Matt: OCS