Week 10 Top 10 Games

Last Week:
Michael: 6-4
Matt: 7-3
For The Season:
Michael: 60-25
Matt: 62-23

1)  #4 Broken Arrow (7-2) AT #5 Westmoore (8-1)

Outlook: Broken Arrow travels to the Westside for a top 5 clash with Westmoore.  A lot is on the line for both teams in the last game of the 2013 regular season.  The winner will finish 2nd in the district and host a 1st round playoff game.  The loser will finish 3rd and would more than likely have a quarterfinal match up on the road in Lawton.  The Tigers won this game last season 26-13 avoiding a 1st round game on the road against Union.  Both teams have 1 common district loss this season, that loss coming to defending champ Jenks.

Michael’s Scouting Report: Which Broken Arrow team will show up this week?  Against the big boys in 6A, Jenks and Union, BA hasn’t looked very good.  Westmoore isn’t a Jenks or Union but they are a dangerous team and get the Tigers at home.  The Jags have only 1 loss for the season and that was a tough 24-0 loss to Jenks in a sloppy game.  The biggest question mark for me is whether or not Devon Thomas will play all 4 quarters.  The future OSU running back has been banged up all year with various injuries.  If Thomas is ready to go and plays all 4 quarters against Westmoore, give the Tigers the edge.  One thing is certain, with or without Thomas, this should be a very exciting game.

Matt’s Scouting Report: This match up is between two teams that are very evenly matched.  The match up in this game that you have to look at is BA’s QB-WR duo of Coleman Key and Austin Reed against Westmoore’s defense.  Reed is very undersized for a wide-out but he makes up for it with his speed.  He is one of the fastest in the state and once he gets the ball in his hands good luck catching him.  The duo of Key and Reed have accounted for 8 touchdowns in the last two games.  Westmoore will need their quarterback Bryson Lee to have a solid performance and put some points up on the Tigers.  I think this game could go either way, but I think that Broken Arrow will find a way to pull a victory out in this one.

Who Wins?
Michael: Broken Arrow 31-28
Matt: Broken Arrow 27-24

2)  #4 Clinton (6-3) AT #10 Woodward (7-2)

Outlook: Big time game all the way out west in Woodward.  The defending champion Red Tornadoes have been dealing with injuries to the majority of their starters over the last month.  Those injuries led to back to back losses to Anadarko and Piedmont.  Woodward could possibly be the Oklahoma’s best kept secret.  Not much is known about the Boomers except for one thing, they’ve been impressive.  Woodward has lost only 1 game this season to an Oklahoma team.  That loss was when they nearly upset #1 Anadarko in week 7.  The winner gets the 2 seed and the loser will be the 3 seed out of 4A-1

Michael’s Scouting Report: How healthy is Clinton?  After losing to Anadarko and Piedmont, Clinton has won back to back games in convincing fashion.  If Clinton is healthy and standout running back Marquiz Simpkins can stay in the game, the Red Tornadoes should win.  Woodward, as a team, is the X-Factor just because we don’t know that much about this team.  Could they pull off the upset of the defending champs?  Perhaps, but I don’t see it happening.  If Clinton is still banged up like they were in week 7 against Piedmont, Woodward should get the win.  Big time programs win big time games.  Clinton is a big time program, Clinton wins.

Matt’s Scouting Report: Clinton has been plagued all year with injuries, how healthy are they coming into this game?  When fully healthy, I think Clinton is the best team in the state in class 4A but when they are not at full strength they are very beatable.  Woodward is a team who has surprised many when they played Anadarko down to the wire in a 18-15 ball game.  The match up in this game I think comes down to the offenses.  Woodward averages 41 points per game, while Clinton puts up 35 points per game. This game could go into the 40’s for both teams but I see a close game in the 20’s.

Who Wins?
Michael: Clinton 27-24
Matt: Woodward 27-20

3)  #4 Lawton MacArthur (7-2) AT #5 Ardmore (8-1)

Outlook: Ardmore might have been looking towards this week’s game with Lawton MacArthur last week.  The Tigers almost fell last week to Altus 35-34.  This also brings up the question about Ardmore, how on earth did they lose to Durant in week 1?  You can defend Lawton Mac’s 2 losses to Lawton and Del City, you can’t defend Ardmore’s.  The district championship is on the line in this match up.  Here’s an interesting scenario, Ardmore could lose this game to Lawton Mac but still be crowned district champ.  If Del City wins, and Lawton Mac only wins by 4, Ardmore is still the district champ after going thru the 3 way tiebreaker.  Nothing like losing a game and celebrating a district title if Lawton Mac hits a game winning field goal. 

Michael’s Scouting Report:  Ardmore concerns me.  The Tigers have been dominant in district play.  The only game they didn’t win by 10 points or more before last week was against Del City when they won by 9.  Then Ardmore was almost upset by Altus.  The week before Altus was getting blown out by Lawton Mac by the tune of 48-14.  Was Ardmore looking towards this top 5 clash with Lawton Mac before facing Altus?  I’m not sure, maybe they aren’t a top 5 quality team.  I have Lawton Mac getting it done and winning this game.  Remember that crazy scenario where if Ardmore loses they can still win the district?  Look at the final score.  Highlanders win.  Tigers are the district champs.

Matt’s Scouting Report: Ardmore has been cruising along since a week two loss to Durant which you can not really explain considering Durant is now 1-9.  This Ardmore team really surprised me when they beat Del City in week 5.  Ardmore has been played very closely in district by some teams you wouldn’t’ think would have played them close.  I give the edge to MacArthur in this game, the reason being Ardmore has played too many close games and this is the game that they will slip up.  MacArthur’s quarterback Will Collins will lead his offense on Friday night and put up points on the Ardmore defense.  I see MacArthur winning and getting enough points to win the district.

Who Wins?
Michael: Lawton Mac 38-34
Matt: Lawton Mac 35-28

4)  #3 Douglass (8-1) AT #7 Ada (7-2)

Outlook: This time last week we were looking at this game being a battle of 2 top 5 teams.  Ada fell in an upset to McLoud last week.  Although I make the argument, is it an upset when a team beats you down by 13 points?  That was the case last week.  Ada messed around and almost lost to Glenpool and Harrah in the weeks before the McLoud loss.  Douglass has also messed around and almost lost games.  Coincidentally, both near misses came against Harrah and McLoud.  Sound familiar?  This game is still going to decide the district championship.  So even though it has lost a little luster and it’s no longer a game featuring two top 5 teams.  It’s a battle of 2 top 10 teams and the winner will be the district champ out of 4A-2.

Michael’s Scouting Report: Take a coin.  Doesn’t matter what kind of coin.  Got it?  Flip it.  Heads, Douglass wins, tails, Ada wins.  Toss up game for the 4A-2 district title.  It’s been hard to gauge just how good this Douglass team is this season.  It’s apparent they’re a very good team but are they good enough to make a run at the gold ball in December?  The Trojans have had their problems over the last two weeks but they’ve gotten wins.  Ada has been a team that has struggled for 3 weeks now.  They had to come from behind to get close wins over Glenpool and Harrah.  Luck finally ran out last week when they lost to McLoud.  I took out my quarter, I flipped it, it’s heads.  Douglass wins.

Matt’s Scouting Report: Douglass has had a very great year, they come into this match up with one loss and zero losses in district.  That being said, the district title is on the line and if Douglass was to not win the district it would be a disappointment.  Douglass is led by senior Deondre Clark who is verbally committed to LSU.  Clark does everything for Douglass, he has always played defensive end for Douglass but this year he is also playing running back for the Trojans. Clark leads Douglass in rushing with 884 yards and 16 touchdowns on the ground he is averaging almost 9 yards a carry. Clark also leads Douglass on defense, he has the most sacks and tackles for loss on the team with 13 sacks and 7 tackles for loss on the year.  Ada, who has struggled as of late, will have to find some way to stop Clark.  That is the match up to watch in this game, if they can slow down Clark at running back and defensive end they will win the game.  I personally do not think Ada can stop Clark and Douglass rushing attack that has ran for over 2,000 yards for the year.

Who Wins?
Michael: Douglass 28-27
Matt: Douglass 35-14

5)  #8 Berryhill (8-1) AT #4 Metro Christian (9-0)

Outlook: District championship is on the line in yet another game featuring two top 10 teams.  The winner will win the district while the loser will finish 2nd.  Metro Christian has been on a roll this season and we’ve made note of just how dominant they’ve been.  In the 9 games they’ve played, their defense has only given up 23 and 13 came all the way back in week 1.  Berryhill will have to play their best game to get a win on Friday against a powerful Metro Christian team.  Don’t get me wrong, Berryhill is good, one of the better teams in 3A, but Metro is elite and a state championship caliber team.  This has been a good game historically.  Metro got a close win last season in the season finale.  In 2010, the two teams met in the playoffs with the Patriots pulling off a 3 point victory.

Michael’s Scouting Report: Before Metro Christian played Claremore Sequoyah, I asked the question whether or not Metro would give up their season total of points (17) in the last two games.  So far they’ve given up 6.  I don’t think they give up 11 to Berryhill this week.  Metro Christian might not put up the points they’ve put up this year offensively in this game.  Berryhill has a good defense but Metro will get enough points to win.  Berryhill will get into double digits but that’s it.  They get 10, they don’t get 11.  Metro’s defense remains stout in this one and carries them to a district title. 

Matt’s Scouting Report: Metro Christian has just beat down teams this year, as their defense has just been dominant, how dominant you ask?  Last week’s game against Claremore Sequoyah, Metro Christian gave up its first touchdown since week one.  The match up in this game to watch is no doubt how many points can Berryhill muster up against this stout defense of Metro Christian.  Berryhill is a team who has a really strong run game but to beat Metro Christian they will need to go to the air. Berryhill’s wide-out Jeremy Smith a verbal commit to the University of Tulsa has 18 grabs for 317 yards and 4 touchdowns on the year.  Berryhill doesn’t’ t throw much but on Friday, look for Smith to be targeted as they try to find any way they can to score on a Metro Christian team that has given up just 3 touchdowns all year. I don’t think Berryhill can score more than 10 points on Friday night which will lead to a Metro win.

Who Wins:
Michael: Metro Christian 24-10
Matt: Metro Christian 28-10

6)  #5 Catoosa (7-2) AT Oologah (6-3)

Outlook: I absolutely love situations like this.  You battle 9 weeks and it comes down to 1 game.  The winner gets the 2 seed and the loser gets the 3 seed and those two teams battle eachother.  Catoosa will travel to Oologah and the winner will be at home next week for the 1st round while the loser will have some travel in their future.  Catoosa has really struggled with Oologah over the last 5 years.  The Indians are 1-4 with their only win being a 42-28 win in 2011.  Oologah got the best of Catoosa last year winning 44-34.  I’ve been high on Catoosa all year and maybe should give more respect to Oologah.  The Mustangs have had a good season with their only losses to 5A’s Claremore, Collinsville and 4A #2 Wagoner.  Last year the 3 seed and the 4 seed was decided in this match up.  This year it’s the difference between a home game and a road game in the 1st round.

Michael’s Scouting Report: This is going to be a smash mouth in your face game.  If you like the high powered offenses that throw it all over the field and go back and forth, avoid Oologah on Friday night.  Both teams are going to want to ground and pound it against the other.  I give the edge to Catoosa in this contest despite the recent struggles against Oologah.  Catoosa has lost twice but one of those losses was to Pryor where they turned it over 7 times.  Don’t let that 24-0 loss sway you, this is a good Catoosa team.  I think the Indians find a way to win and get it done in the 4th quarter.  Both teams will be in it at the end.  Catoosa will make enough plays to get a huge road victory and have the luxury of playing at home next week to open the playoffs.

Matt’s Scouting Report: Both of these teams love to run the ball, they both have great running backs. Catoosa is led by running back Devon Hemphill, who has 875 yards and 12 touchdowns on the year.  Oologah is led by Jimmy McKinney, who has 1,062 and 15 touchdowns on the year.  The match up I look to in this game is who can out run who?  Who makes the least mistakes on Friday night?  I think Catoosa will have just enough to get the win on Friday.

Who Wins?
Michael: Catoosa 34-27
Matt: Catoosa 21-17

7)  Fort Gibson (6-3) AT #9 Sallisaw (7-2)

Outlook: More than likely, this game will decide the 3 seed and the 4 seed out of district 4A-4.  This game will also decide who the district champion is between Cascia Hall and Poteau.  If Fort Gibson wins, Cascia will be your district champion.  If Sallisaw wins, Poteau will more than likely be your champ.  Needless to say, this game is very important.  Sallisaw has used their upset victory over Cascia Hall as a sparkplug.  The Black Diamonds have won their last 4 games by 22 points or more since the Cascia win.  The only loss Sallisaw has to an Oklahoma team came back in week 4 to Poteau.  Don’t let the 3 losses fool you, this is a good Fort Gibson team.  The Tigers lost to Catoosa by 1, Poteau by 14 and Cascia Hall by 6 in overtime. 

Michael’s Scouting Report:  Remember the Douglass-Ada match up?  Remember how I told you to get a coin and flip it?  Do you still have that coin?  A lot of these games are toss up’s.  It could go either way.  This is a good Fort Gibson team and if they end up being a 4 seed, they’ll give Wagoner all they want in the 1st round.  Sallisaw’s only loss to an Oklahoma team was a blowout loss to Poteau.  Both teams have been playing very good football right now which should make for a very good game.  I flipped that coin again, it landed on tails.  Give me the road team.  Fort Gibson gets the win and Cascia Hall ends up with another district title.

Matt’s Scouting Report: The most notable thing about this game is the loser of this game will play top ranked Wagoner in the1st round of the playoffs.  It is rare that a match up comes down to a kicker but I think this game comes down to a field goal.  Luckily for Saillsaw, they have arguably the best field goal kicker in the state in Sinue Rodriguez.  Rodriguez has kicked, and made, 7 field goals on the year, his longest field goal was 48 yards.  Rodriguez has been tested as he  kicked the game winner in the final seconds to beat Cascia Hall earlier in the year.

Who Wins?
Michael: Fort Gibson 34-28
Matt: Sallisaw 24-21

8)  Bishop McGuinness (5-4) AT #7 Edmond Deer Creek (6-3)

Outlook: This game makes me laugh.  Not because of the two teams involved.  I laugh because the loser will be the 4 seed and last year, the 4 seed out of this district WON THE STATE TITLE!  5A-2 is ridiculous.  That’s what’s on the line in this match up as the winner will finish in the 3 spot and the loser will be in the 4 spot.  Both teams have struggled against the elite teams in the district. (Guthrie and Carl Albert)  Both teams have also dismantled the other teams in district play.  Bishop McGuinness probably has the best player on the field in quarterback Jacob Lewis.  He’ll play a big role in the outcome of this game. 

Michael’s Scouting Report:  McGuinness has struggled at times with turning the ball over and cannot afford to turn it over against the Antlers.  Deer Creek will try to avoid going from district champ last year to 4 seed this year.  The Antlers defense should be able to hold McGuinness and could force some turnovers in this 5A-2 match up.  One thing is for sure, both of these teams are going to give their 1st round opponent a tough game.  I think Deer Creek gets it done in the end.  I have the Antlers winning by 7 but it could be much closer.

Matt’s Scouting Report: McGuinness will need a solid performance from their quarterback Jacob Lewis who has had a very up and down season.  The key to a win for Bishop McGuinness is to not turn the ball over.  Lewis has had trouble with turning the ball over all year long.  In this game the match up that I do look to is if Jacob Lewis lead his team to the end-zone a few times without turning the ball over.  If Deer Creek can force some turnovers, I believe that they will win this game.  I think that Lewis will turn the ball over at least once and I think that turnover comes back to bite McGuiness.

Who Wins?
Michael: Deer Creek 31-24
Matt: Deer Creek 28-21

9)  McLain (5-4) AT Cleveland (4-5)

Outlook: The scenario is very simple and the stakes couldn’t be higher.  If you win, you’re playing another week in the playoffs.  If you lose, you’re getting ready for basketball and wrestling because your football season is over.  McLain was able to knock off Cleveland last season but still missed out on the playoffs despite a 7-3 record.  The Titans have put themselves in a position for redemption with a victory on the road.  For Cleveland, it’s been an up and down year having to replace all state QB Chas Stallard.  The Tigers has had enough up’s in this roller coaster year to have an opportunity to make the playoffs for a second consecutive year.

Michael’s Scouting Report: I just have a hunch.  I think Cleveland pulls it off and gets the win over McLain.  I can’t give you too much more than that.  I just have a hunch.  Last season, McLain pulled off the upset win over Cleveland, but because they had lost to Wagoner, Catoosa and Oologah the Titans missed out on the playoffs.  The winner of this one is in and the loser is out.  McLain losing playmaker Nigel Carter will hurt the Titans’ chances of making the postseason.  Like I said, I don’t have much backing it up except a gut feeling, I got the Tigers clawing their way into the playoffs.

Matt’s Scouting Report: McLain missed the playoffs last year even though they went 7-3 on the year.  McLain is led on defense by Quenten Nails at linebacker, look for him to make plays on defense.  The match up to look for in this one is McLain’s defense against Cleveland’s offense.  When Cleveland has scored over 20 points on the year they have only lost one time and that was to top ranked Wagoner. I don’t think Cleveland scores over 20, I have McLain winning this game and getting into the playoffs.

Who Wins?
Michael: Cleveland 31-28
Matt: McLain 21-10

10)  East Central (4-5) AT #10 Pryor (6-3)

Outlook:  Pryor will try to bounce back from last week’s disappointing district championship loss to Collinsville.  The Tigers aren’t out of the hunt for 5A-4.  If Pryor beats East Central and Collinsville loses to Tahlequah, the district title falls into Pryor’s lap.  The likely hood of Collinsville losing to Tahlequah is slim so Pryor will focus on locking up a 1st round home game.  East Central has really played well in district play since starting the season 0-3.  The Cardinals don’t have a lot to gain by winning this game but could fall to the 4 spot with a loss.  Nobody wants that 4 spot because that means you get McAlester on the road in the 1st round.  Both teams want to take some momentum into the playoffs after an up and down year.

Michael’s Scouting Report:  This is the definition of a bounce back game for Pryor.  The Tigers lost for the first time since September 20th when they fell in an upset to Miami.  What’s the health situation of quarterback Brennon Barth?  The junior quarterback led this team to a 5-0 district start but was knocked out of the game late last week against Collinsville with an ankle injury.  If Barth isn’t able to go then East Central will have the edge.  By all indication Barth will play in the season finale.  Pryor will want to jump out to an early lead and get their offense rolling after stalling last week.  Containing East Central quarterback Tra’von Cherry is the biggest key as Cherry is the only starter back from last year’s 5A runner up team.  Pryor head coach Jason Freeman considers Cherry to be the best quarterback they’ve seen this year.

Matt’s Scouting Report: With the district title still not wrapped up until Collinsville beats Tahlequah, Pryor still has a shot at the district title.  With that being said, I do not see any way that Pryor comes out flat against East Central.  East Central will give Pryor all they want on Friday night.  The match up in this game is the two offenses.  Tre’Von Cherry for East Central at quarterback will need to have a great game.  He is hobbled a little with a leg injury and that will be something to watch in this game.  Cherry has thrown for 2,078 yards and 20 touchdowns this year.  The biggest thing that separates wins from losses this year for East Central is turnovers, and Cherry has had 12 Interceptions on the year.  Friday night East Central needs the interception column for Cherry to be zero.  Pryor will need their quarterback Brennon Barth to have a great game for them.  He has 1,226 yards on the ground and 24 touchdowns.  Barth and Pryor’s offense did something last week that they have rarely done all year and that was turn the ball over and it cost them the game.  I think Barth and Pryor get back on track with a win but I do not see it coming easy

Who Wins?
Michael: Pryor 30-20
Matt: Pryor 20-13

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