Week 3 Top 10 Games

Last week:
Michael was 7-3
Matt was 6-4

For the Season:

1) #4 Union (0-2) AT # 2 Broken Arrow

A rivalry that by the numbers, has been completely one sided.  Broken Arrow has only one victory over Union since 1989.  That victory came in the season opener of the 2008 season, Union head coach Kirk Fridrich’s first season at Union.  The last several years this rivalry has gotten a lot closer.  In fact, the last 3 Union wins have been decided by a total 13 points.

Why Union Will Win:  This rivalry has gotten closer but the fact still remains, Union owns Broken Arrow.  The Redskins pushed Jenks without their starting quarterback and top two running backs.  Don’t count out this tough Union team.  If they get their starters back, this is a fairly even game.  They proved last week that they can compete with the best in the state without their starters.  The defense will need to play great to contain this Broken Arrow offense.

Why Broken Arrow Will Win:  The Tigers have gotten closer and closer in this rivalry over the last decade.  Broken Arrow will need their work horse at running back to be back so this offense can reach its full potential.  The Union defensive line will offer a test to this shaky BA offensive line.  The Tigers got a win over maybe the best team in Arkansas without Devon Thomas.  They’ll need Thomas back to get their second win over Union in 30 meetings.

Who Wins?
Michael: Broken Arrow 31-24
Matt: Broken Arrow 31-20

2) 6A’s #7 Midwest City (2-0) AT 5A’s #5 Del City (1-1)

Similar to Union-Broken Arrow, this has been a pretty one sided rivalry, although Del City has made some noise in the last several years.  The Eagles got a 1 point win over the Bombers last season.  In the last 4 years, each team is 2-2 after Midwest City had a long winning streak over Del City.

Why Midwest City Will Win:  The Bombers’ defense has been very strong over the first two weeks.  Midwest City has jumped out to a surprising 2-0 start this season and can get a huge boost into district play with a win over their rival.  The Bombers’ offense will need to put up points, because as well as their defense has played, Del City will score some points.

Why Del City Will Win:  Keep on rollin’.  The Eagles’ offense has been outstanding in the first two weeks.  They get their toughest test when they go against rival Midwest City and a defense that has played extremely well against good offenses from Edmond Santa Fe and Stillwater.  If the Eagles get a huge rivalry game win, they’ll have to get heir points when they can.  Midwest City won’t make that easy.

Who Wins?
Michael: Del City 27-21
Matt: Midwest City 28-27

3) 3A’s #5 Metro Christian (2-0) AT 4A’s #10 Broken Bow (1-1)

These two unlikely opponents have met every year for the past 6 seasons.  Metro Christian is 3-2 in the last 5 games and the two losses have come by a combined 5 points.  Broken Bow is very familiar with the Patriots’ offense.  In the last 5 games Metro Christian has scored at least 20 points in every game.

Why Metro Christian Will Win:  The offense can roll.  Danny Burke is a huge key for this Patriot team.  Burke was huge in a 50-0 win over NOAH.  NOAH is in no way as good as Broken Bow.  However Burke went off.  He got into the end zone 3 different ways.  He caught a TD, returned an interception for another, and returned a punt for the third.  If Metro Christian is going to make the long drive back to Tulsa with a win, I expect Danny Burke to play a huge roll.

Why Broken Bow Will Win:  This is going to be a hungry Broken Bow team.  The Savages are coming off a lopsided loss to Arkansas power Shiloh Christian.  The last thing they’ll want to do is see a Metro Christian team come into their town and put up some points.  Defense will be key for the Savages.  Forcing the Patriots into several 3 and outs and short drives will be key for Broken Bow.

Who Wins?
Michael: Metro Christian 28-24
Matt: Broken Bow 21-20

4) #7 Catoosa (1-1) AT #4 Fort Gibson (2-0)

Nice match up featuring two top 10 teams in 4A.  Even better then that?  These teams should get a lot better by the end of the season.  Catoosa dropped a close one last year to the Tigers losing 35-32.  However in 2010 and 2011 it was all Catoosa as they beat Fort Gibson by a combined score of 83-14.

Why Catoosa Will Win:  The Indians bounced back after a 6 turnover performance against Pryor in a 24-0 loss in the season opener.  Catoosa was impressive last week taking on a solid 5A team in Collinsville getting the win.  Catoosa will have their hands full with a Fort Gibson team that despite being 2-0, is off to a semi slow start.  If the Indians can continue to avoid turnovers they should be able to avenge their 3 point loss from a year ago.

Why Fort Gibson Will Win:  You can’t knock Fort Gibson, they’re 2-0.  However going into the season I had higher expectations for this Tiger team.  The Tigers have won both of their games but they have looked vulnerable in the first two contests against Tahlequah and Hilldale.  Friday’s clash with #7 Catoosa provides an excellent opportunity for Fort Gibson to have a break out party on offense.  Defensively they’ve been sound this year.

Who Wins?
Michael: Catoosa 24-17
Matt: Fort Gibson 21-17

5) #9 Norman North (1-1) AT #6 Westmoore (2-0)

Westmoore gave Norman North their only loss before the Timberwolves fell to Jenks in the state title game last year.  In fact, Westmoore has won the last two in this series.  Norman North had won the previous 4 meetings between the two schools.

Why Norman North Will Win:  David Cornwell.  Okay I’ll elaborate.  The Alabama quarterback commit showed last week why he’s one of the best at his position in the country.  Cornwell bounced back from an average opener to lead a comeback over Del City last week.  The defense isn’t close to being as strong as it was last year.  They’ll need to do a lot better than last week.  The Timberwolves gave up 550 yards of total offense to Del City.

Why Westmoore Will Win:  The Jaguars are off to a fast start with wins over Moore and, more impressive, Southmoore.  The Norman North defense hasn’t been able to stop their first two opponents which gives Westmoore a chance to extend the T’Wolves’ frustration on defense.  The Jags will need to slow down the Norman North offense to get the win on Friday. 

Who Wins?
Michael: Westmoore 41-35
Matt: Westmoore 49-42

6) #7 Claremore (2-0) AT #2 McAlester (1-1)

Last year was the first time these two 5A top ten teams have met in over a decade.  Claremore escaped with a 21-20 overtime victory over McAlester.  The Buffaloes started the season 0-3 but ended up making the 5A semifinals.

Why Claremore Will Win:  Claremore HAS to slow down the McAlester offense.  Booker T Washington was able to not only keep up with the Buff’s attack, but they outscored them.  Something that won’t happen to often this season.  Claremore will need to shorten the game and limit the opportunities McAlester has on offense.  If Claremore can control the ball and get some points on long drives, they’ll have a shot at pulling the upset.

Why McAlester Will Win:  45 points and that wasn’t enough to get the win last week.  The Buffaloes gave up a 38-17 halftime lead.  I expect this team to be a little upset about those two facts going into this match up.  If McAlester jumps out to a big lead early, look for them to keep their foot down this week.  The defense will need to get some stops to get the ball back to their offense.

Who Wins?
Michael: McAlester 38-21
Matt: McAlester 49-28

7) Sapulpa (2-0) AT Sand Springs (1-1)

The Highway 97 rivalry is one of the better Tulsa area rivalries going.  What’s great about this game right now is both teams are very evenly matched.  In 2011 Sapulpa scored a 28-21 victory while last year Sand Springs got the 28-21 victory.  Whoever wins this year’s meeting will have earned it.

Why Sapulpa Will Win:  This offense has put up monster numbers in the first two games.  The defense hasn’t been to shabby either.  Take all of that with a grain of salt.  The competition hasn’t been the toughest for the Chieftains with wins over Ponca City and Hale.  Sapulpa will attempt to continue their early season roll by beating up on their rival.  It will be tougher then their first two outings.

Why Sand Springs Will Win:  Sand Springs got it done in week 1 against a struggling Muskogee team.  They followed that up by losing by 14 to a tough Bixby team.  Bixby is pretty similar to Sapulpa and Sand Springs will see a lot of the same things they did last week.  The Sandites have to identify their mistakes from last week, correct them, and go out and execute to get a big rivalry game win.

Who Wins?
Michael: Sand Springs 31-24
Matt: Sapulpa 42-28

8) #8 Owasso (1-1) AT #1 Jenks (2-0)

Similar to Union-Broken Arrow, Jenks has owned Owasso.  The Trojans have won 20 in a row against the Rams but these games are starting to get closer.  Last year Jenks started 0-2 and beat Owasso to start a 14 game winning streak that they’re currently on.

Why Owasso Will Win:  Union showed last week that even not at full strength, they can push this Jenks team.  If the Rams control the ball and don’t turn it over to this mighty Jenks defense, they’ll have a great shot at pulling off the upset.  The combination of quarterback Gabe Neph to brother and wide receiver John Cole Neph will have to have their best game.  The defense can make stops.  Jenks’ offense has struggled early on.

Why Jenks Will Win:  The Jenks offense will need to play better then they have in the first two weeks.  A lot has been made about how good this Trojan defense is and thru the first two games they’ve carried them.  This could be a possible breakout game for the Jenks offense.  I expect them to run the ball and have some success doing it. 

Who Wins?
Michael: Jenks 34-14
Matt: Jenks 34-10

9) #1 Millwood (2-0) AT #6 Adair (2-0)

An interesting match up.  Not quite sure why these two teams are playing on Friday night but I’m excited for it nonetheless.  Adair is currently on a 23 game winning streak in regular season games.  Without a doubt this game against Millwood will be their toughest game of that streak. 

Why Millwood Will Win:  Many reasons come to mind.  Whenever you see Millwood dismantle a Douglass team that has a win over BTW, it’s hard not to be impressed.  The Falcons are led by Texas Tech commit Cameron Batson who does it all on offense and defense.  It’s not too often that Millwood heads east to the 918 so we’ll see how they respond to that.  Adair has their hands full with this athletic team from OKC.

Why Adair Will Win:  A miracle will take place.  All jokes aside, it will take a lot for Adair to continue the impressive streak they’re currently on.  Not many people know that Adair is on this streak because of the early exits they’ve had in the playoffs the last couple years.  Adair is going to be tested, they have a freshman at quarterback and if they are going to have a chance, he can’t make many mistakes.

Who Wins?
Michael: Millwood 36-20
Matt: Millwood 28-7

10) Tahlequah Sequoyah (1-1) AT #4 Victory Christian (2-0)

I still can’t believe what happened the last time these two teams were on the same field.  Keats Calhoon had his breakout party as a freshman quarterback going against one of the better QB’s in the state in Brayden Scott.  Calhoon led a 27 point comeback in the 4th quarter.

Why Tahlequah Sequoyah Will Win:  If they get up by 27 on Victory Christian in the fourth quarter…okay okay.  The Indians will need to play a solid game to get the win over a very good Victory Christian team.  Sequoyah has been able to put up some points in the first two games.  They lost last week to Beggs but they put up 33 points on the scoreboard.  Maybe the best way to beat the Conquerors is to just outscore them.

Why Victory Christian Will Win:  This might be Victory Christian’s toughest test before they get deeper into district play.  The Conquerors’ high powered attack will be in full swing on Friday night.  As long as they don’t turn the ball over and keep Tahlequah Sequoyah in the game, they should stroll to a 3-0 start.

Who Wins?
Michael: Victory Christian 48-27
Matt: Victory Christian 56-20


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